Match Info

BNXT League - Round 15

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: MartiniPlaza (Groningen)


	Donar Groningen		Spirou Charleroi

	1	2
	1.55	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donar Groningen
57.6%

Spirou Charleroi
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donar Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Spirou Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donar Groningen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spirou Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Erikstrup D.	31. Boakye E.
33. Forrest D.	4. Gary J.
1. Luke A. (C)	2. Jackson Z.
4. Miller M.	11. Nottage E. (C)
5. Taylor E.	3. Styles D.
Substitutes
11. Adetunji D.	12. Bilolo Katuala M.
6. Cnubben L.	77. Makwa M.
9. Gelling C.	15. Mbessang I.
21. Hoeve T.	5. Polet A.
7. Kobus J.	7. Rotsaert J.
2. Linguard Jr C.	22. Smout Q.
22. Nossek W.	13. Zecevic L.
Coaches
. Dourisseau J.	. Rotsaert S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3.

Groningen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spirou is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spirou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 689:746. (average 68.9:74.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 356:343. (average 71.2:68.6).

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Spirou Charleroi: 2.28% Donar Groningen: 1.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Donar Groningen	2	2	0	166:154	1.000
9	Spirou Charleroi	1	0	1	65:69	0.000

Last Results with these Odds

Donar Groningen - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.19%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Donar Groningen
BNXT League
04.04.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	75:65 ✺
01.04.26	Donar Groningen - LWD Basket	92:82 ✺
28.03.26	Okapi Aalstar - Donar Groningen	111:82 ✺
ENBL
25.03.26	Mitteldeutscher - Donar Groningen	80:73 ✺
Dutch DBL Cup
22.03.26	Landstede - Donar Groningen	77:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW
- Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League
04.04.26	Oostende - Spirou Charleroi	75:86 ✺
01.04.26	Leiden - Spirou Charleroi	87:81 ✺
27.03.26	Spirou Charleroi - Kangoeroes Mechelen	79:74 ✺
15.03.26	BAL Weert - Spirou Charleroi	55:86 ✺
13.03.26	Spirou Charleroi - BAL Weert	82:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
10.05.25	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	69:65
17.11.24	Spirou Charleroi - Donar Groningen	80:68
Dutch DBL
26.04.24	Spirou Charleroi - Donar Groningen	76:74
23.03.24	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	78:72
BNXT League
15.04.23	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	69:55
24.03.23	Spirou Charleroi - Donar Groningen	68:71
FIBA Europe Cup
27.11.19	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	64:78

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