Match Info

DBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex 1574 (Leiden)


	Leiden		Donar Groningen

	1	2
	1.8	1.84	Watch
	1.79	1.95
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.69	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.33)	1.93 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
51.9%

Donar Groningen
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiden's form might have worsened.

Donar Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Donar Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donar Groningen than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Donar Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Leiden - Donar Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Bergsma B.	33. Forrest D.
17. Kruithof L.	2. Linguard Jr C.
0. Mc Collum J.	1. Luke A.
28. Roberts N.	4. Miller M.
5. Scott-Grayson T.	32. Zuidema K. (C)
Substitutes
13. Huurman S.	11. Adetunji D.
2. Maconda D.	6. Cnubben L.
10. Schaftenaar R. (C)	9. Gelling C.
12. Sicking J.	21. Hoeve T.
9. van den Elzen S.	13. Martin K.
3. Wessel V.	22. Nossek W.
Coaches
. Spradley R. D.	. Dourisseau J.

Preview

Donar Groningen leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leiden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1520:1461. (average 76:73.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiden won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 814:746. (average 81.4:74.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
Dutch DBL
26.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	97:89 ✺
24.05.26	Leiden - Donar Groningen	90:78 ✺
22.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	91:68 ✺
19.05.26	Leiden - LWD Basket	107:86 ✺
18.05.26	LWD Basket - Leiden	94:85 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Donar Groningen
Dutch DBL
26.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	97:89 ✺
24.05.26	Leiden - Donar Groningen	90:78 ✺
22.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	91:68 ✺
BNXT League
09.05.26	Donar Groningen - Limburg United	71:82 ✺
06.05.26	Rotterdam City - Donar Groningen	76:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch DBL
26.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	97:89
24.05.26	Leiden - Donar Groningen	90:78
22.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	91:68
BNXT League
04.04.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	75:65
08.11.25	Leiden - Donar Groningen	101:72
20.04.25	Leiden - Donar Groningen	79:81
Dutch DBL Cup
21.03.25	Donar Groningen - Leiden	77:69

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