Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 1d 12h 📅 Remind Me


	Leiden		Donar Groningen

	1	2
	1.57	2.20
	1.73	1.92
	1.76	1.91
	1.59	2.09	Watch
	1.72	1.87
	1.69	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.4)	1.98 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
54.2%

Donar Groningen
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiden's form might have worsened.

Donar Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Donar Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donar Groningen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Leiden - Donar Groningen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Leiden could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leiden has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1535:1473 (averaging 76.8:73.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leiden against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 750:681 goals (averaging 83.3:75.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Leiden	4	2	2	293:292	0.500
12	Donar Groningen	4	2	2	319:358	0.500

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Donar Groningen: 0.78% Leiden: 0.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Leiden - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 64.65%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
24.10.26	Leuven Bears - Leiden	67:64 ✺
17.10.26	Leiden - Okapi Aalstar	92:77 ✺
10.10.26	Leiden - Brussels	61:77 ✺
02.10.26	Rotterdam City - Leiden	71:76 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.26	Kangoeroes Mechelen - Leiden	73:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Donar Groningen
ENBL
27.10.26	Donar Groningen - Voluntari	90:71 ✺
BNXT League
25.10.26	Okapi Aalstar - Donar Groningen	114:90 ✺
14.10.26	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	63:90 ✺
06.10.26	Donar Groningen - Leuven Bears	81:78 ✺
02.10.26	Kortrijk Spurs - Donar Groningen	76:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch DBL
31.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	77:79
29.05.26	Leiden - Donar Groningen	91:71
26.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	97:89
24.05.26	Leiden - Donar Groningen	90:78
22.05.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	91:68
BNXT League
04.04.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	75:65
08.11.25	Leiden - Donar Groningen	101:72

Leiden - Donar Groningen