Match Info

Elite League - Round 16

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Doxa Lefkadas		Megaridas

	1	2
	1.36	2.75
	1.45	2.52	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.44
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.65)	2.6 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doxa Lefkadas
64.6%

Megaridas
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doxa Lefkadas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Doxa Lefkadas's performance.

Megaridas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Megaridas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doxa Lefkadas than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doxa Lefkadas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Megaridas than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Megaridas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Doxa Lefkadas - Megaridas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Preview

Doxa Lefkadas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Megaridas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Doxa Lefkadas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Doxa Lefkadas has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Doxa Lefkadas will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doxa Lefkadas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 340:354. (average 68:70.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Doxa Lefkadas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 131:133. (average 65.5:66.5).

Outrights of Greek Elite League Basketball for now

NE Megaridas: 4.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	NE Megaridas	1	1	0	76:59	2

Last Results with these Odds

Doxa Lefkadas - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.28%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doxa Lefkadas BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
03.01.26	Doxa Lefkadas - Dafni	76:65 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
28.12.25	Chalkida - Doxa Lefkadas	65:74 ✺
27.12.25	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Doxa Lefkadas	70:85 ✺
Greek Elite League Basketball
20.12.25	Psychiko - Doxa Lefkadas	74:65 ✺
17.12.25	Peiramatiko Machites - Doxa Lefkadas	61:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- NE Megaridas
Greek Elite League Basketball
03.01.26	Koroivos - Megaridas	92:76 ✺
21.12.25	Megaridas - Niki Volos	89:79 ✺
18.12.25	Panerythraikos - Megaridas	85:80 ✺
15.12.25	Megaridas - Lavrio	83:93 ✺
06.12.25	Papagou - Megaridas	81:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
04.10.25	Megaridas - Doxa Lefkadas	74:69
08.02.25	Doxa Lefkadas - Megaridas	66:71
02.11.24	Megaridas - Doxa Lefkadas	80:71
02.03.24	Doxa Lefkadas - Megaridas	65:62
25.11.23	Megaridas - Doxa Lefkadas	67:69

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