Match Info

Premijer liga - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportska dvorana Dubrava (Zagreb)


	Dubrava		Virtus Zagreb

	1	2
	1.92	1.73	Watch
	1.9	1.84
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.85	1.8
	1.92	1.77
	1.8	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubrava
49%

Virtus Zagreb
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Virtus Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dubrava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dubrava - Virtus Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Babic L.	10. Brzoja M. (C)
19. Gnjidic L.	7. Buljevic L.
7. Matic A.	8. Skrobot N.
30. Sabic E.	11. Vrankovic A.
14. Skific J. (C)	12. Zemljic N.
Substitutes
4. Mucak I.	16. Daniels C.
11. Perkovic M.	1. Gainey J.
77. Rajaofera S.	24. Ivancic P.
8. Rukavina T.	3. Karacic I.
23. Schwartz C.	6. Sare N.
26. Skelin A.	0. Stojic L. S.
1. Wright J.	13. Subasic D.
Coaches
. Bujan T.	. Pesut L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dubrava won 2.

Dubrava is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cedevita Junior has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dubrava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dubrava has had a series of away games.

Cedevita Junior might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dubrava won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 978:1003. (average 81.5:83.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dubrava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 560:585. (average 80:83.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Zagreb - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.19%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Dubrava
ENBL
09.12.25	Dziki Warszawa - Dubrava	72:67 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
05.12.25	Dubrovnik - Dubrava	74:83 ✺
Croatian Cup Basketball
29.11.25	KK Zadar - Dubrava	100:93 OT ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
23.11.25	Dubrava - KK Split	84:104 ✺
ENBL
17.11.25	Olomoucko - Dubrava	82:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLL
- KK Virtus Zagreb
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	Virtus Zagreb - Reggiana	90:94 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
07.12.25	Virtus Zagreb - KK Zadar	63:85 ✺
23.11.25	Zabok - Virtus Zagreb	82:79 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	Prievidza - Virtus Zagreb	83:64 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
15.11.25	Virtus Zagreb - Kvarner	65:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
22.03.25	Dubrava - Virtus Zagreb	91:88 OT
28.02.25	Virtus Zagreb - Dubrava	94:85
07.12.24	Dubrava - Virtus Zagreb	73:89
22.04.24	Dubrava - Virtus Zagreb	90:76
20.01.24	Dubrava - Virtus Zagreb	83:86
28.10.23	Virtus Zagreb - Dubrava	89:73
15.04.23	Dubrava - Virtus Zagreb	68:71

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