Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday


	Duquesne Dukes		Marshall Thundering Herd

	1	2
	1.74	2.15
	1.71	2.15
	1.71	2.14
	1.68	2.06
	1.79	2.08
	1.7	2.05
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.69	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)	2.09 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duquesne Dukes
54.9%

Marshall Thundering Herd
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duquesne Dukes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Marshall Thundering Herd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duquesne Dukes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duquesne Dukes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marshall Thundering Herd than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marshall Thundering Herd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Duquesne Dukes - Marshall Thundering Herd Predictions

Users Predictions: Duquesne Dukes will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:75

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Preview

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Duquesne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Duquesne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 225-237.

Including matches at home between the teams Duquesne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 93-82.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duquesne Dukes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.12.22	Duquesne Dukes - Ball State Cardinals	78:77 ✺
29.11.22	Duquesne Dukes - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	72:61 ✺
23.11.22	Duquesne Dukes - Alabama State Hornets	75:57 ✺
21.11.22	Duquesne Dukes - North Florida Ospreys	83:82 ✺
18.11.22	Duquesne Dukes - Colgate Raiders	85:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Marshall Thundering Herd basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.12.22	Marshall Thundering Herd - Ohio Bobcats	83:69 ✺
30.11.22	Marshall Thundering Herd - Akron Zips	68:57 ✺
26.11.22	Marshall Thundering Herd - Morehead State Eagles	83:59 ✺
21.11.22	Marshall Thundering Herd - Chicago State Cougars	82:70 ✺
19.11.22	Marshall Thundering Herd - Coppin State Eagles	86:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.12.21	Marshall Thundering Herd - Duquesne Dukes	72:71
29.12.19	Marshall Thundering Herd - Duquesne Dukes	83:61
05.12.18	Duquesne Dukes - Marshall Thundering Herd	93:82

Duquesne Dukes - Marshall Thundering Herd: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide