Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 30

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo Sportowa Centrum (Dabrowa Gornicza)


	Dąbrowa Górnicza		Start Lublin

	1	2
	1.17	4.5
	1.2	3.75	Watch
	1.23	3.61
	1.17	4.48	Watch
	1.22	3.75
	1.25	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	3.98 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dąbrowa Górnicza
76.7%

Start Lublin
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dąbrowa Górnicza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dąbrowa Górnicza's performance.

Start Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Start Lublin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dąbrowa Górnicza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Dąbrowa Górnicza - Start Lublin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Bonner D.	12. Ford Q.
7. Montgomery JR E.	25. Griffin B.
8. Muhammad L.	0. Krasuski M.
10. Musial J.	2. O'Reilly L.
15. Peterka M.	3. Ramey C.
Substitutes
32. Bogucki A.	33. Frankamp C.
14. Gray J.	32. Mazek P.
4. Piechowicz M. (C)	7. Pelczar B.
9. Thomas J.	21. Put F. (C)
2. Wojdala J.	5. Turewicz M.
6. Zablocki M.
5. Zalucki A.
Coaches
. Gronek A.	. Kaminski W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dąbrowa Górnicza won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dąbrowa Górnicza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dąbrowa Górnicza is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dąbrowa Górnicza won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1701:1699. (average 85.1:85).

Including home matches between the teams, Dąbrowa Górnicza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 711:707. (average 88.9:88.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Dabrowa Gornicza	1	1	0	89:78	2
13	Lublin	1	0	1	79:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
Polish Basket Liga
01.05.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Legia Warsaw	85:90 ✺
25.04.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	102:89 ✺
18.04.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - MOSiR Krosno	91:89 ✺
10.04.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	70:83 ✺
03.04.26	GTK Gliwice - Dąbrowa Górnicza	80:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
03.05.26	Start Lublin - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	80:101 ✺
26.04.26	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	86:82 ✺
18.04.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Start Lublin	81:86 ✺
11.04.26	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	103:97 OT ✺
04.04.26	Dziki Warszawa - Start Lublin	103:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
10.01.26	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	81:78
29.03.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Start Lublin	82:101
01.12.24	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	95:81
28.01.24	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	114:102
12.10.23	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Start Lublin	112:87
Club Friendly Basketball
02.09.23	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	64:88
Polish Basket Liga
28.04.23	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	91:89

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