Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday


	East Carolina Pirates		Appalachian State Mountaineers

	1	2
	1.5	2.65
	1.47	2.55
	1.49	2.7
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.51	2.43
	1.54	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.38)	2.56 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 131.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Carolina Pirates
63%

Appalachian State Mountaineers
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Carolina Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that East Carolina Pirates's form might have worsened.

Appalachian State Mountaineers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Appalachian State Mountaineers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Carolina Pirates than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Appalachian State Mountaineers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

East Carolina Pirates - Appalachian State Mountaineers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:65

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Preview

East Carolina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Appalachian State has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

East Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, East Carolina has had a series of home games.

East Carolina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, East Carolina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 227:221. (average 75.7:73.7).

Including home matches between the teams, East Carolina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 165:153. (average 82.5:76.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Carolina Pirates basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.12.25	East Carolina Pirates - UNC Greensboro Spartans	78:82 ✺
02.12.25	East Carolina Pirates - Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks	68:56 ✺
27.11.25	East Carolina Pirates - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	58:67 ✺
25.11.25	East Carolina Pirates - Michigan State Spartans	56:89 ✺
21.11.25	East Carolina Pirates - Charleston Southern Buccaneers	65:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Appalachian State Mountaineers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.11.25	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - Appalachian State Mountaineers	67:55 ✺
26.11.25	Mercer Bears - Appalachian State Mountaineers	75:67 ✺
24.11.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Elon University Phoenix	53:88 ✺
21.11.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Charlotte 49ers	65:63 ✺
16.11.25	Dartmouth Big Green - Appalachian State Mountaineers	77:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.11.19	Appalachian State Mountaineers - East Carolina Pirates	68:62
30.11.18	East Carolina Pirates - Appalachian State Mountaineers	83:81
20.11.12	East Carolina Pirates - Appalachian State Mountaineers	82:72

East Carolina Pirates - Appalachian State Mountaineers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide