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Current Win Probability
Esgueira 12%
Povoa 88%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
65.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
56.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esgueira's form might have worsened.
Povoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Povoa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+31.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esgueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Povoa than the current prediction. (-31.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Povoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Esgueira - Povoa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:92
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Antonio Y.
25. Bah A.
2. Bailey J.
0. Lamut M.
4. Carvalhal P.
34. Okemirie J.
10. Ferreira F.
5. Rodrigues J.
23. Oliveira M.
12. Whitaker B.
Substitutes
6. Martins J.
3. Buccilli D.
1. Neto F.
10. Costa J.
77. Sousa A.
15. Gomes B.
8. Machado D.
20. Manjate J.
1. Pedro J.
23. Rodrigues M. (C)
Coaches
. Silva S.
. Rodrigues J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 2.
Esgueira is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Povoa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Esgueira could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Povoa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Esgueira has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1129:1175 (averaging 75.3:78.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Esgueira against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 618:646 goals (averaging 77.3:80.8 per game).
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Antonio Y. 
Bah A. 
Bailey J. 
Lamut M. 
Okemirie J. 
Ferreira F. 
Buccilli D. 
Manjate J. 
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