Match Info

LFB Women - Round 19

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira (Aveiro)


	Esgueira		União Sportiva

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.6	2.1
	1.61	2.1
	1.61	2.13	Watch
	1.57	2.14
	1.71	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
56.4%

União Sportiva
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

União Sportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Sportiva than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Esgueira - União Sportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Barbara	4. Carvalho M.
4. Kosareva S.	28. Goncalves C.
9. Raimundo G.	11. Monique (C)
30. Reynolds V.	8. Nascimento I.
25. Thornton T.	2. Rivera G.
Substitutes
6. Andorinho M.	21. Ferreira S.
15. Espindola R.	17. Gaislerova M.
1. Ferreira D. (C)	6. Martins A.
24. Hadiatu D.	14. Pimentel I.
96. Magalhaes L.	7. Rodrigues R.
19. Marques S.	27. Serralheiro L.
12. Silva J.
Coaches
. Janicas A.	. Botelho R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Esgueira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Esgueira has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Esgueira will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 905:933. (average 64.6:66.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Esgueira won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 431:439. (average 71.8:73.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Esgueira W	1	1	0	70:66	2
12	Uniao Sportiva W	1	0	1	58:73	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket Women
Portuguese LFB
07.02.26	Benfica - Esgueira	84:63 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
01.02.26	Évora - Esgueira	48:73 ✺
Portuguese LFB
31.01.26	GDESSA Barreiro - Esgueira	79:77 ✺
25.01.26	Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon	82:80 ✺
18.01.26	Imortal - Esgueira	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWW
- Clube União Sportiva
Portuguese LFB
08.02.26	União Sportiva - Sporting Lisbon	73:75 ✺
31.01.26	Imortal - União Sportiva	95:71 ✺
24.01.26	União Sportiva - Madeira	87:65 ✺
18.01.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - União Sportiva	92:86 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
10.01.26	Sanjoanense - União Sportiva	69:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
30.11.25	União Sportiva - Esgueira	81:62
26.04.25	Esgueira - União Sportiva	74:63
21.04.25	União Sportiva - Esgueira	47:63
30.03.25	Esgueira - União Sportiva	81:75
15.12.24	União Sportiva - Esgueira	54:76
21.04.24	União Sportiva - Esgueira	61:55
20.04.24	União Sportiva - Esgueira	60:43

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