Match Info

LFB Women - Round 17

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho (Barreiro)


	GDESSA Barreiro		Esgueira

	1	2
	1.67	2	Watch
	1.61	2.11
	1.71	1.98	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.76	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GDESSA Barreiro
54.4%

Esgueira
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GDESSA Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GDESSA Barreiro than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GDESSA Barreiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esgueira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GDESSA Barreiro - Esgueira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Burns M.	7. Barbara
13. Costa M.	4. Kosareva S.
0. Park-Lane L.	9. Raimundo G.
6. Rafferty A.	30. Reynolds V.
4. Umabano M. (C)	25. Thornton T.
Substitutes
2. Cabrita S.	15. Espindola R.
9. Cabrita T.	1. Ferreira D. (C)
77. Casinha L.	24. Hadiatu D.
11. Oliveira M.	96. Magalhaes L.
16. Ramos D.	19. Marques S.
18. Rosa F.	12. Silva J.
12. Vieira L.
Coaches
. Martins A.	. Janicas A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GDESSA Barreiro won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, GDESSA Barreiro won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 831:853. (average 69.3:71.1).

Including home matches between the teams, GDESSA Barreiro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 334:316. (average 66.8:63.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Esgueira W	1	1	0	70:66	2
11	Gdessa Barreiro W	1	0	1	65:79	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GDESSA Barreiro
Portuguese LFB
25.01.26	Coimbrões - GDESSA Barreiro	63:59 ✺
17.01.26	GDESSA Barreiro - Sporting Lisbon	86:60 ✺
04.01.26	Barcelos - GDESSA Barreiro	59:71 ✺
28.12.25	GDESSA Barreiro - Imortal	76:72 ✺
20.12.25	Galitos - GDESSA Barreiro	59:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Esgueira Basket Women
Portuguese LFB
25.01.26	Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon	82:80 ✺
18.01.26	Imortal - Esgueira	82:89 ✺
03.01.26	Esgueira - Madeira	75:70 ✺
28.12.25	Quinta Dos Lombos - Esgueira	83:72 ✺
20.12.25	Esgueira - Sanjoanense	91:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
08.11.25	Esgueira - GDESSA Barreiro	95:70
05.01.25	Esgueira - GDESSA Barreiro	73:65
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
21.12.24	Esgueira - GDESSA Barreiro	87:89 OT
Portuguese LFB
13.10.24	GDESSA Barreiro - Esgueira	63:71
17.03.24	Esgueira - GDESSA Barreiro	75:65
08.12.23	GDESSA Barreiro - Esgueira	61:56
26.02.23	GDESSA Barreiro - Esgueira	73:75 OT

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