The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Español de Talca 16.9%
Universidad Católica 83.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
68.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
64.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Español de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Español de Talca's form might have worsened.
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Español de Talca than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Español de Talca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Español de Talca - Universidad Católica Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -4.5, OT - Uni Católica (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:82
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
9. Barraza P.
1. Bender S.
18. Guaico V.
5. Dlugoszewski J.
31. Lewis T.
21. Harper T.
34. Luckey A.
7. Marquez L.
0. McPherson J.
10. Salcedo D.
Substitutes
24. Cabrera C.
14. Barrientos T.
1. Gonzalez A.
11. Damianovic Carrasco V.
11. Gonzalez A.
22. Navarrete S.
10. Gonzalez C.
27. Pozo O.
12. Orelus Y.
4. Rebolledo E.
4. Rodallega W.
2. Salas C.
15. Soto M.
9. Silva S.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Español de Talca won 1.
Español de Talca has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Uni Católica has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Uni Católica may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Español de Talca has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Uni Católica holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Español de Talca has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1382:1525 (averaging 69.1:76.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Español de Talca against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 611:646 goals (averaging 67.9:71.8 per game).
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Barraza P. 
Bender S. 
