Match Info

LNB - Clausura - Losers

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gimnasio Municipal de Castro (Castro) 🌤️ ...


	Naviera Ulloa Castro		Español de Talca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.40
	1.28	3.30
	1.25	3.55
	1.38	2.78	Watch
	1.15	3.70
	1.22	3.84
	1.20	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.41)	3.52 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naviera Ulloa Castro
73.8%

Español de Talca
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naviera Ulloa Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naviera Ulloa Castro's performance.

Español de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Español de Talca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naviera Ulloa Castro than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naviera Ulloa Castro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Español de Talca than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Español de Talca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naviera Ulloa Castro - Español de Talca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alvarez N.	9. Barraza P.
11. Barbieri A.	18. Guaico V.
30. Farrar N.	31. Lewis T.
42. McCreary M.	34. Luckey A.
1. Ugalde M.	0. McPherson J.
Substitutes
21. Aragon H.	1. Gonzalez A.
25. Armijo R.	11. Gonzalez A.
20. Barria D.	10. Gonzalez C.
7. Beltran G.	8. Lueiza T.
5. Maldonado E.	12. Orelus Y.
28. Ortega K.	4. Rodallega W.
6. Sepulveda J.	15. Soto M.

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Naviera Ulloa (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Español de Talca is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Naviera Ulloa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Naviera Ulloa carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Naviera Ulloa has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 75:76.

Specifically in home fixtures for Naviera Ulloa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 75:76 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Naviera Ulloa Castro
Chilean LNB
16.09.26	Naviera Ulloa Castro - Las Animas	77:68 ✺
13.09.26	Las Animas - Naviera Ulloa Castro	79:74 ✺
17.08.26	Puerto Montt - Naviera Ulloa Castro	92:72 ✺
13.08.26	Naviera Ulloa Castro - Ancud	71:82 ✺
06.08.26	Las Animas - Naviera Ulloa Castro	104:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLL
- CD Español de Talca
Chilean LNB
14.09.26	Universidad Católica - Español de Talca	81:70 ✺
12.09.26	Español de Talca - Colo Colo	74:81 ✺
16.08.26	Leones de Quilpue - Español de Talca	96:69 ✺
14.08.26	Español de Talca - Universidad De Concepción	80:103 ✺
09.08.26	Puente Alto - Español de Talca	104:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
03.05.24	Naviera Ulloa Castro - Español de Talca	75:76 OT

Naviera Ulloa Castro - Español de Talca