Match Info

Korisliiga Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Espoonlahden urheiluhalli (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Espoo Basket Team		HBA-Marsky Helsinki

	1	2
	1.75	1.98
	1.65	2.14
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoo Basket Team
53.8%

HBA-Marsky Helsinki
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoo Basket Team has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

HBA-Marsky Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoo Basket Team than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espoo Basket Team, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBA-Marsky Helsinki than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HBA-Marsky Helsinki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Espoo Basket Team - HBA Marsky Helsinki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Maattanen V.	11. Gardziella A.
17. Mace E.	13. Luukkanen A. (C)
8. Ogun N.	23. Machol A.
12. Salovaara E. (C)	18. Nenonen J.
3. Tuomisto S.	24. Talonen T.
Substitutes
4. Inhala N.	15. Aden D.
23. Mantyla K.	55. Helasuo E.
24. Nelskyla S.	9. Koskela A.
21. Pekkalainen A.	5. Loukola S.
19. Vainio E.	7. Nanje V.
	8. Pasanen M.
	10. Toljamo S.
Coaches
. Hellman N.	. Hanninen J.

Preview

HBA-Marsky Helsinki leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espoo Team won 2.

Espoo Team has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HBA-Marsky is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Espoo Team won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1240:1183. (average 77.5:73.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Espoo Team won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 657:554. (average 82.1:69.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W	2	2	0	179:128	4
8	Espoo Team W	1	0	1	70:97	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoo Basket Team
Finnish Korisliiga Women
20.03.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Espoo Basket Team	76:68 ✺
18.03.26	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	52:67 ✺
14.03.26	Peli-Karhut - Espoo Basket Team	91:85 ✺
11.03.26	Pyrinto Tampere - Espoo Basket Team	78:74 ✺
07.03.26	Espoo Basket Team - Torpan Pojat	80:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- HBA-Marsky Helsinki Women
Finnish Korisliiga Women
20.03.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Espoo Basket Team	76:68 ✺
18.03.26	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	52:67 ✺
14.03.26	Kouvottaret - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	55:94 ✺
11.03.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Espoon Honka	83:75 ✺
07.03.26	Vimpelin Veto - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	93:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga Women
20.03.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Espoo Basket Team	76:68
18.03.26	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	52:67
21.02.26	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	88:84
01.11.25	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	90:78
24.10.25	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Espoo Basket Team	79:66
22.03.25	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	74:47
22.02.25	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Espoo Basket Team	84:94

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