Match Info
Primera FEB - Round 20Date: 11 February 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Estela |
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Oviedo |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estela than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oviedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Estela - Oviedo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Estela will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Estela (votes: 1 - 50%). Oviedo (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:83 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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12. Alderete D.
| 55. Lobaco R.
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32. Johnson R.
| 35. Nwaokorie F.
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10. Martinez G.
| 5. Parham G.
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8. Rodriguez S.
| 14. Shelist D.
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11. Yu Jiahao
| 3. Villar M.
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| Substitutes |
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21. de la Llama B.
| 48. Arias Gonzalez J.
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15. Hernandez P.
| 11. Copes F. A.
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34. Kande G.
| 41. Cosialls R.
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31. Lapornik M.
| 7. Duscak D.
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9. Lugarini B.
| 24. Hermanson C.
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2. Powell J.
| 44. Longarela Gonzalez P.
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6. Taboada C.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estela won 2.Estela is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Oviedo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Oviedo might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estela won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 607:663. (average 75.9:82.9).Including home matches between the teams, Estela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 240:246. (average 80:82).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Estela | 2 | 2 | 0 | 157:144 | 4 |
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| 18 | Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 136:185 | 2 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;