Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 18

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Estela		Cartagena

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.36	2.75	Watch
	1.34	3.17
	1.38	2.78	Watch
	1.36	2.88
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	2.83 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estela
67.2%

Cartagena
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estela than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Estela - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Hernandez P.	12. Domenech A.
32. Johnson R.	2. Garuba S.
34. Kande G.	11. Idehen E. R.
10. Martinez G.	4. Rivera I.
8. Rodriguez S.	10. Webster K.
Substitutes
12. Alderete D.	19. Harguindey A.
31. Lapornik M.	5. Martin A.
9. Lugarini B.	1. Polytnice C.
23. Lutete IV C.	15. Rodriguez M.
2. Powell J.	20. Svejcar S.
6. Taboada C.
11. Yu Jiahao

Preview

Recent form of Estela has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Cartagena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Estela is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 236:224. (average 78.7:74.7).

Including home match between the teams, Estela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:69.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Estela	2	2	0	157:144	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estela
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
18.01.26	Estudiantes - Estela	81:74 ✺
10.01.26	Estela - Palmer Basket	73:76 ✺
04.01.26	Básquet Coruña - Estela	102:67 ✺
28.12.25	Gipuzkoa Basket - Estela	88:77 ✺
21.12.25	Estela - Fibwi Palma	77:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- FC Cartagena CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.01.26	Cartagena - Burgos	89:87 OT ✺
11.01.26	Melilla - Cartagena	84:91 ✺
04.01.26	Cartagena - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	75:88 ✺
28.12.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Cartagena	95:77 ✺
20.12.25	Cartagena - Básquet Coruña	80:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.12.25	Cartagena - Estela	68:74
09.05.25	Estela - Cartagena	84:69
12.01.25	Cartagena - Estela	87:78

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