Match Info

Date: 12 June 2021, Saturday


	Eurobasket Roma		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.81	1.83
	1.88	1.94
	1.72	2
	1.88	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.03)	1.88 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eurobasket Roma
50.4%

Derthona Basket Tortona
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eurobasket Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eurobasket Roma than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eurobasket Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona Basket Tortona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Eurobasket Roma - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: Eurobasket Roma will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:75

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Preview

4th leg. Derthona Tortona leads series 2-1.

Recent matches Eurobasket Roma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tortona is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tortona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Eurobasket Roma won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 840-842.

Including matches at home between the teams Eurobasket Roma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 395-379.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eurobasket Roma
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.06.21	Eurobasket Roma - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:80 ✺
07.06.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	80:85 OT (71:71) ✺
05.06.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	67:66 ✺
29.05.21	Eurobasket Roma - Forlì	72:67 ✺
27.05.21	Eurobasket Roma - Forlì	76:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWW
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.06.21	Eurobasket Roma - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:80 ✺
07.06.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	80:85 OT (71:71) ✺
05.06.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	67:66 ✺
01.06.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Ravenna	78:76 ✺
29.05.21	Ravenna - Derthona Basket Tortona	66:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.06.21	Eurobasket Roma - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:80
07.06.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	80:85 OT (71:71)
05.06.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	67:66
Italian LNP Gold Basketball
22.12.19	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	66:65
22.10.19	Eurobasket Roma - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:76
20.01.19	Derthona Basket Tortona - Eurobasket Roma	88:81
13.10.18	Eurobasket Roma - Derthona Basket Tortona	80:59

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