Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 9

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Železnik Hall (Belgrade)

Referee: Kruljac B. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	FMP Beograd		KK Split

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.29	3.5
	1.35	2.96	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.35	3.25
	1.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FMP Beograd
71.4%

KK Split
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FMP Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FMP Beograd than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

FMP Beograd - KK Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. FMP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Split will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Split (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Barna F.	30. Dragic Z.
15. Ojiako J.	24. Dreznjak D.
2. Scott J.	0. Myers T.
22. Stanojevic A.	33. Stephens J.
10. Stefanovic L.	11. Svoboda N.
Substitutes
5. Eugene C.	3. Anticevich G.
8. Grojic P.	25. Jemo R.
11. Radosavljevic D.	5. Jordano A.
0. Rebraca F.	10. Kucic V.
89. Skraban B.	55. Marinelli P.
	6. Perasovic I.
Coaches
. Nikitovic A.	. Repesa D.

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FMP won 4.

FMP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Split is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

FMP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Split has had a series of home games.

In this match, FMP is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, FMP won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 868:811. (average 86.8:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, FMP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 461:399. (average 92.2:79.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK FMP Beograd
Adriatic League
22.11.25	FMP Beograd - U BT Cluj-Napoca	98:104 ✺
17.11.25	FMP Beograd - Dubai	91:107 ✺
08.11.25	FMP Beograd - Krka	82:61 ✺
03.11.25	Borac Čačak - FMP Beograd	74:83 ✺
20.10.25	Partizan Belgrade - FMP Beograd	109:103 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL
- KK Split
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
04.12.25	KK Split - GKK Šibenka	110:72 ✺
23.11.25	Dubrava - KK Split	84:104 ✺
Adriatic League
21.11.25	KK Split - Krka	80:91 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
16.11.25	KK Split - KK Zadar	88:82 OT ✺
Adriatic League
14.11.25	KK Split - Borac Čačak	89:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
14.04.25	KK Split - FMP Beograd	72:85
13.12.24	FMP Beograd - KK Split	98:91 OT
29.01.24	KK Split - FMP Beograd	78:66
27.10.23	FMP Beograd - KK Split	84:66
20.01.23	KK Split - FMP Beograd	91:95
17.10.22	FMP Beograd - KK Split	90:73
02.04.22	KK Split - FMP Beograd	85:90 OT (74:74)

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