Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Falco Szombathely		Le Mans

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.91	1.81	Watch
	1.98	1.88
	2.05	1.7
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.33)	1.81 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falco Szombathely
48.4%

Le Mans
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falco Szombathely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falco Szombathely's performance.

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Le Mans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falco Szombathely than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falco Szombathely that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Mans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Falco Szombathely - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Szombathely will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Szombathely: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:83

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Preview

Le Mans is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification ~ Winners stage )

Szombathely is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Le Mans is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Szombathely to win the game is with odds 2.13.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Szombathely won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 81-63.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falco Szombathely
Hungarian NB I Basketball
16.12.23	BC Körmend - Falco Szombathely	65:101 ✺
10.12.23	Falco Szombathely - Zalakerámia ZTE	100:72 ✺
Champions League Basketball
06.12.23	Unicaja Malaga - Falco Szombathely	88:65 ✺
Hungarian NB I Basketball
03.12.23	Szolnoki Olaj - Falco Szombathely	69:85 ✺
29.11.23	Falco Szombathely - Alba Fehérvár	108:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
16.12.23	Le Mans - Saint-Quentin	76:77 ✺
09.12.23	Metropolitans 92 - Le Mans	88:100 ✺
Champions League Basketball
06.12.23	Peristeri BC - Le Mans	78:86 ✺
French LNB
02.12.23	Le Mans - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	64:80 ✺
28.11.23	Le Mans - AS Monaco Basket	84:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
07.11.23	Le Mans - Falco Szombathely	63:81

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