Match Info

Liga A - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Héctor Etchart (Buenos Aires)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Peñarol de Mar del Plata

	1	2
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.37	2.9
	1.42	3.13
	1.42	2.65
	1.36	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
67.6%

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bettiga L.	3. Basualdo I.
4. Lezcano E.	73. Carreras X.
6. Martinez J.	18. Perez A.
23. Peacock A.	1. Thornton A.
2. Torresi J.	9. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
5. Defelippo J.	35. Acuna R.
14. Diez A.	22. Armand S.
12. Gallegos R.	11. Chapero M.
91. Hernandez K.	15. Chiaraviglio N.
13. Rodriguez C.	13. Cordoba G.
9. Rodriguez F.	4. Guerra L.
0. Tamagusuku T.	2. Tolosa F.

Preview

Ferro Carril Oeste leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Basquet won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferro Basquet is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ferro Basquet will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferro Basquet won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1683:1671. (average 84.2:83.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Basquet won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 926:922. (average 84.2:83.8).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Penarol: 2.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Penarol	1	1	0	62:57	1.000
12	Ferro	2	1	1	165:171	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste Basquet
Argentinian LNB
24.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	97:91 ✺
19.04.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste	87:80 ✺
15.04.26	Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste	74:81 ✺
11.04.26	Boca Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	81:90 ✺
08.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Oberá TC	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL
- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
24.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	97:91 ✺
19.04.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste	87:80 ✺
16.04.26	Oberá TC - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	84:81 ✺
14.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	91:85 ✺
04.04.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Unión Santa Fe	85:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
24.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	97:91
19.04.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste	87:80
28.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	97:84
27.04.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste	73:75
09.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	82:81 OT
12.05.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste	70:86
13.11.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	80:73

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