Match Info

Liga A

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Héctor Etchart (Buenos Aires)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Riachuelo de La Rioja

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.85
	1.75	1.95
	1.77	2.06
	1.73	2.01
	1.62	2.2
	1.74	1.99	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)	1.99 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
53.2%

Riachuelo de La Rioja
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Riachuelo de La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riachuelo de La Rioja than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riachuelo de La Rioja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Riachuelo de La Rioja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferro Basquet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5, OT - Riachuelo (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ferro Carril Oeste will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferro Basquet (votes: 1 - 50%). Riachuelo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bettiga V.	12. Aguerre F.
14. Diez A.	21. Becton R.
4. Lezcano E.	7. Forestier V.
6. Martinez J.	16. Krayem O.
9. Rodriguez F.	8. Vieta F.
Substitutes
93. Fierro M.	22. Barco J.
12. Gallegos R.	73. Carreras X.
2. Gonzalez M.	10. Corbalan J.
31. Malachias G.	3. Corso M.
13. Rodriguez C.	2. Fernandez J.
7. Roveres A.	11. Luchi M.
21. Spano T.	24. Trocha-Morelos T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Basquet won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ferro Basquet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Riachuelo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ferro Basquet will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ferro Basquet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 551:568. (average 78.7:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Basquet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 225:219. (average 75:73).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste Basquet
Argentinian LNB
29.04.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Ciclista Olímpico	81:69 ✺
27.04.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste	73:75 ✺
24.04.25	Obras Sanitarias - Ferro Carril Oeste	89:73 ✺
21.04.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quimsa	77:93 ✺
18.04.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Argentino	90:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW
- Riachuelo de La Rioja
Argentinian LNB
11.05.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Quimsa	97:99 ✺
09.05.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Gimnasia y Esgrima	77:73 ✺
03.05.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Instituto Córdoba	67:87 ✺
28.04.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Atenas	97:88 ✺
18.04.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Obras Sanitarias	63:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
11.12.24	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Ferro Carril Oeste	91:81
18.04.24	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Ferro Carril Oeste	73:86
19.01.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Riachuelo de La Rioja	70:76
19.02.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Riachuelo de La Rioja	79:83
06.11.22	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Ferro Carril Oeste	85:79
18.01.22	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Ferro Carril Oeste	100:80
07.01.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Riachuelo de La Rioja	76:60

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