Match Info

Liga A

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Superdomo de La Rioja (La Rioja)


	Riachuelo de La Rioja		Gimnasia y Esgrima

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.52	2.32	Watch
	1.56	2.42
	1.58	2.27
	1.5	2.5
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.52	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.43)	2.35 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riachuelo de La Rioja
60.4%

Gimnasia y Esgrima
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riachuelo de La Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riachuelo de La Rioja than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riachuelo de La Rioja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Esgrima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Riachuelo de La Rioja - Gimnasia y Esgrima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +21.5, OT - Gimnasia (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguerre F.	23. Daniels T.
21. Becton R.	9. Dato M.
10. Corbalan J.	5. De Los Santos N.
7. Forestier V.	30. Horton K.
55. Krayem O.	15. Nation A.
Substitutes
73. Carreras X.	17. Ayala V.
3. Corso M.	3. Chacon M.
2. Fernandez J.	6. Cisneros A.
11. Luchi M.	10. Copesky J.
0. Montano I.	14. Rivero C.
9. Rodriguez J.	12. Toretta E.
24. Trocha-Morelos T.	4. Whitfield R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riachuelo won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Riachuelo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Riachuelo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Riachuelo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 525:567. (average 75:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Riachuelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 245:256. (average 81.7:85.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riachuelo de La Rioja
Argentinian LNB
03.05.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Instituto Córdoba	67:87 ✺
28.04.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Atenas	97:88 ✺
18.04.25	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Obras Sanitarias	63:90 ✺
15.04.25	La Unión Formosa - Riachuelo de La Rioja	69:78 ✺
13.04.25	Regatas Corrientes - Riachuelo de La Rioja	81:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentinian LNB
07.05.25	Atenas - Gimnasia y Esgrima	78:74 ✺
03.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Regatas Corrientes	109:70 ✺
29.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - San Lorenzo de Almagro	92:81 ✺
23.04.25	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima	73:62 ✺
21.04.25	Obras Sanitarias - Gimnasia y Esgrima	75:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
03.11.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Riachuelo de La Rioja	76:65
04.05.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Riachuelo de La Rioja	78:68
23.11.23	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Gimnasia y Esgrima	79:82
20.03.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Riachuelo de La Rioja	67:77
26.11.22	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Gimnasia y Esgrima	85:87
11.04.22	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Gimnasia y Esgrima	81:87
14.12.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Riachuelo de La Rioja	90:70

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