Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles		Central Arkansas Bears

	1	2
	1.86	1.86
	1.9	1.83
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.92)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
49.5%

Central Arkansas Bears
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Central Arkansas Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Gulf Coast Eagles than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Arkansas Bears than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Arkansas Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - Central Arkansas Bears Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Florida Gulf Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Florida Gulf Coast (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Florida Gulf Coast (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:77

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florida Gulf Coast won 3.

In recent matches, Florida Gulf Coast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Central Arkansas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Central Arkansas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Central Arkansas will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Florida Gulf Coast won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 508:478. (average 84.7:79.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Florida Gulf Coast won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 164:162. (average 82:81).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Florida Gulf Coast: 0.22% Central Arkansas: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - Jacksonville Dolphins	86:84 ✺
14.02.26	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - Stetson Mad Hatters	78:76 ✺
11.02.26	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - North Florida Ospreys	90:81 ✺
07.02.26	Bellarmine Knights - Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	81:65 ✺
05.02.26	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	76:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Central Arkansas Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.02.26	Stetson Mad Hatters - Central Arkansas Bears	76:88 ✺
14.02.26	Central Arkansas Bears - West Georgia Wolves	79:62 ✺
11.02.26	Central Arkansas Bears - Bellarmine Knights	84:76 ✺
09.02.26	North Alabama Lions - Central Arkansas Bears	65:72 ✺
07.02.26	Lipscomb Bisons - Central Arkansas Bears	78:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.01.26	Central Arkansas Bears - Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	85:83
11.01.25	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - Central Arkansas Bears	77:71
01.02.24	Central Arkansas Bears - Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	59:82
02.02.23	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - Central Arkansas Bears	87:91
02.01.23	Central Arkansas Bears - Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	79:84 OT (75:75)
03.02.22	Central Arkansas Bears - Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	93:95 OT (87:87)

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - Central Arkansas Bears