Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2


	Florida State Seminoles		North Carolina Tar Heels

	1	2
	2.45	1.59
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.52	1.55
	2.47	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.42	1.61
	2.45	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.13)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florida State Seminoles
38.6%

North Carolina Tar Heels
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florida State Seminoles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Florida State Seminoles's form might have worsened.

North Carolina Tar Heels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Carolina Tar Heels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida State Seminoles than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florida State Seminoles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Carolina Tar Heels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Florida State Seminoles - North Carolina Tar Heels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Florida State won 0.

Recent matches Florida State is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

North Carolina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Florida State won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1285:1451 (average 71.4:80.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Florida State won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 668:696 (average 74.2:77.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florida State Seminoles basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.02.25	Louisville Cardinals - Florida State Seminoles	89:81 ✺
19.02.25	Florida State Seminoles - Miami FL Hurricanes	74:66 ✺
15.02.25	Florida State Seminoles - Clemson Tigers	46:72 ✺
12.02.25	Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Florida State Seminoles	70:72 ✺
04.02.25	Florida State Seminoles - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	67:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWW
- North Carolina Tar Heels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.02.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Cavaliers	81:66 ✺
19.02.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - North Carolina State Wolfpack	97:73 ✺
15.02.25	Syracuse Orange - North Carolina Tar Heels	82:88 ✺
10.02.25	Clemson Tigers - North Carolina Tar Heels	85:65 ✺
08.02.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Pittsburgh Panthers	67:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.03.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - Florida State Seminoles	92:67
27.01.24	Florida State Seminoles - North Carolina Tar Heels	68:75
02.12.23	North Carolina Tar Heels - Florida State Seminoles	78:70
27.02.23	Florida State Seminoles - North Carolina Tar Heels	66:77
12.02.22	North Carolina Tar Heels - Florida State Seminoles	94:74
12.03.21	Florida State Seminoles - North Carolina Tar Heels	69:66
27.02.21	North Carolina Tar Heels - Florida State Seminoles	78:70

Florida State Seminoles - North Carolina Tar Heels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide