Match Info

SPAIN: LEB ORO - ROUND 5

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Força Lleida CE		Melilla

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.25	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.49
	1.29	3.5
	1.29	3.5
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	3.39 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Força Lleida CE
72.6%

Melilla
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Força Lleida CE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Força Lleida CE than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Força Lleida CE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Força Lleida CE - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:75

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Força Lleida won 3.

Força Lleida is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Melilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Força Lleida is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Força Lleida won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1272-1311.

Including matches at home between the teams Força Lleida won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 694-693.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Força Lleida CE
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
28.10.23	Estela - Força Lleida CE	75:63 ✺
20.10.23	Força Lleida CE - Burgos	66:86 ✺
14.10.23	San Pablo Burgos - Força Lleida CE	79:66 ✺
06.10.23	Força Lleida CE - Gipuzkoa Basket	75:68 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
07.09.23	Força Lleida CE - Barcelona	80:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
27.10.23	Melilla - Real Betis	83:87 ✺
20.10.23	Cáceres CB - Melilla	90:76 ✺
13.10.23	Melilla - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	65:87 ✺
07.10.23	Menorca - Melilla	66:83 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
30.09.23	Burgos - Melilla	81:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
05.02.23	Melilla - Força Lleida CE	62:74
16.10.22	Força Lleida CE - Melilla	91:83
21.05.22	Melilla - Força Lleida CE	74:60
09.03.22	Força Lleida CE - Melilla	83:73
16.05.21	Melilla - Força Lleida CE	67:61
11.04.21	Força Lleida CE - Melilla	95:81
20.12.19	Força Lleida CE - Melilla	72:101

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