Match Info

ACB - Round 29

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Coliseum Burgos (Burgos)

Referee: Esteve Malmierca I. (And)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	San Pablo Burgos		Força Lleida CE

	1	2
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.82
	1.39	2.9
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	2.91 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Pablo Burgos
67.6%

Força Lleida CE
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Pablo Burgos's performance.

Força Lleida CE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Força Lleida CE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Pablo Burgos than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Pablo Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Força Lleida CE than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Força Lleida CE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Pablo Burgos - Força Lleida CE Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. SP Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SP Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - SP Burgos (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SP Burgos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:86

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Almazan P.	5. Pauli O.
11. Diez D.	3. Ejim M.
22. Happ E.	12. Diagne A.
10. Corbalan G.	2. Walden C.
19. Neto R.	1. Batemon J.
Substitutes
6. Gudmundsson J.	4. Agada C.
33. Heidegger M.	6. Garcia D.
23. Meindl L.	16. Jimenez M.
3. Nzosa Y.	25. Krutwig C.
7. Rubio J.	13. Rodriguez A.
00. Samuels J.	14. Sanz M.
5. Shackelford J.
Coaches
. Fisac P.	. Encuentra G.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

SP Burgos could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 714:716. (average 79.3:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, SP Burgos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 327:312. (average 81.8:78).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Forca Lleida: 0.68% San Pablo Burgos: 0.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	San Pablo Burgos	2	1	1	191:179	2
13	Forca Lleida	2	1	1	186:194	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
26.04.26	Basquet Manresa - San Pablo Burgos	94:101 ✺
19.04.26	San Pablo Burgos - CB Breogán	94:99 ✺
12.04.26	San Pablo Burgos - Real Madrid	78:94 ✺
04.04.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - San Pablo Burgos	95:109 ✺
29.03.26	San Pablo Burgos - Valencia	74:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWL
- Força Lleida CE
Spanish ACB League
25.04.26	Unicaja Malaga - Força Lleida CE	91:72 ✺
19.04.26	Força Lleida CE - Barcelona	90:80 ✺
11.04.26	Basket Zaragoza - Força Lleida CE	107:91 ✺
05.04.26	Força Lleida CE - Canarias	103:101 ✺
28.03.26	Granada - Força Lleida CE	92:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
24.01.26	Força Lleida CE - San Pablo Burgos	73:72
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
08.06.24	San Pablo Burgos - Força Lleida CE	77:80
13.03.24	Força Lleida CE - San Pablo Burgos	77:72
14.10.23	San Pablo Burgos - Força Lleida CE	79:66
05.05.23	San Pablo Burgos - Força Lleida CE	90:78
08.01.23	Força Lleida CE - San Pablo Burgos	85:79
03.01.17	Força Lleida CE - San Pablo Burgos	78:80

Upcoming Matches