Match Info

SPAIN: LEB Oro - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Força Lleida CE		Valladolid

	1	2
	1.22	3.9
	1.25	3.4
	1.23	3.55
	1.26	3.85
	1.27	3.85
	1.29	3.5
	1.24	3.77
	1.21	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.4)	3.72 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Força Lleida CE
74.9%

Valladolid
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Força Lleida CE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Força Lleida CE's performance.

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Força Lleida CE than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Força Lleida CE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Força Lleida CE - Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Hasbrouck K.	35. Belemene-Dzabatou R.
25. Krutwig C.	3. Cuevas M.
3. Matulionis O.	23. Fernandez J.
33. Simeunovic D.	20. Kovacevic M.
4. Villar R.	24. Nwogbo L.
Substitutes
24. Arroyo-Varela I.	22. De La Fuente S.
0. Brito D.	5. Garcia-Abril J.
6. Cuellar Garcia D.	14. Kabasele H.
23. Kur K.	10. N'guessan M.
13. Lobo J.	6. Puidet J.
10. Vega J.	4. Zigmantavicius M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Força Lleida won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Força Lleida is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Força Lleida won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1187-1314.

Including matches at home between the teams Força Lleida won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 596-594.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Força Lleida CE
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
31.03.24	Clavijo - Força Lleida CE	60:72 ✺
22.03.24	Força Lleida CE - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	90:73 ✺
17.03.24	Gipuzkoa Basket - Força Lleida CE	87:72 ✺
13.03.24	Força Lleida CE - San Pablo Burgos	77:72 ✺
09.03.24	Ourense - Força Lleida CE	71:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- CB Ciudad de Valladolid
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
30.03.24	Valladolid - San Pablo Burgos	91:84 ✺
22.03.24	Melilla - Valladolid	80:81 ✺
16.03.24	Valladolid - Ourense	83:71 ✺
12.03.24	Menorca - Valladolid	76:57 ✺
08.03.24	Valladolid - Clavijo	86:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
18.11.23	Valladolid - Força Lleida CE	80:74
03.06.23	Força Lleida CE - Valladolid	83:90
01.06.23	Força Lleida CE - Valladolid	77:71
27.05.23	Valladolid - Força Lleida CE	86:83 OT
25.05.23	Valladolid - Força Lleida CE	73:66
17.02.23	Força Lleida CE - Valladolid	85:77
22.10.22	Valladolid - Força Lleida CE	97:57

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