Match Info
SPAIN: Primera FEB - Round 15Date: 4 January 2025, SaturdayLocation: Pabellón Polideportivo Pisuerga (Valladolid)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Valladolid |
|
Ourense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.56 |
|
2.3 |
|
 |
1.48 |
|
2.4 |
|
 |
1.44 |
|
2.5 |
 Watch |
 |
1.58 |
|
2.27 |
|
 |
1.53 |
|
2.38 |
|
 |
1.53 |
|
2.39 |
|
 |
1.44 |
|
2.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.33) |
|
2.39 ↓
(3.04) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 157.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Valladolid
61.3% | Ourense
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Valladolid - Ourense Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Ourense will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ourense: 86.1% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
33.  Cuevas M.
| 0.  Brito D.
|
16.  Demers E.
| 35.  Gill R.
|
34.  Mballa J.
| 23.  Krikke B.
|
6.  Puidet J.
| 1. Moody J.
|
3.  Vucetic V.
| 4. Rodriguez S.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
22. De La Fuente S.
| 17. Fernandez M.
|
5. Garcia-Abril J.
| 30. Lisboa R.
|
20.  Kovacevic M.
| 3. Mendikote U.
|
11. Manchon D.
| 10.  Monteiro A.
|
21. Sans A.
| 42.  Ogunsipe M.
|
14. Suvi G.
| 19. Paz Vazquez S.
|
7. Wilson S.
| 11. Santana J.
|
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 2. Valladolid is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Ourense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Valladolid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Valladolid will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1142:1167 (average 76.1:77.8). Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 545:564 (average 77.9:80.6).
Form
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