The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frayles de Guasave 71.6%
Pioneros de Los Mochis 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.8%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Pioneros de Los Mochis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frayles de Guasave that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Los Mochis than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pioneros de Los Mochis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Frayles de Guasave - Pioneros de Los Mochis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 103:95
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Brito O.
10. Anderson A.
55. Hodge D.
6. Evans J.
9. Jones J. (C)
7. Griffin E.
4. Pal J.
11. Moultrie A.
0. Phipps T.
0. Wilson-Frame J. (C)
Substitutes
8. Jimenez R.
44. Alexander Q.
33. Martin M.
55. Allen J.
45. Monyyong R.
23. Butler M.
2. Nelson S.
15. Juarez R.
18. Tona A.
14. Martinez I.
4. Rojo M.
2. Stone J.
Coaches
. Jamil A.
. Garcia J.
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 3.
Guasave has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pioneros's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Pioneros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Pioneros has had a series of away games.
In this match, Guasave is the team to beat.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1169:1229. (average 89.9:94.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Guasave won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 664:643. (average 94.9:91.9).
Watch
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Brito O. 
Anderson A. 
Hodge D. 
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