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Current Win Probability
Frayles de Guasave 58.5%
Venados de Mazatlán 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
54.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frayles de Guasave's performance.
Venados de Mazatlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venados de Mazatlán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-17.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frayles de Guasave that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venados de Mazatlán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Frayles de Guasave - Venados de Mazatlán Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:89
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Lineups
1. Durugordon S.
3. Acosta F.
56. Hill-Mais X.
9. Casillas J.
8. Jimenez R.
15. Gonzalez J.
9. Jones J. (C)
8. Hernandez A.
7. Lybbert D.
28. Johnson D.
33. Martin M.
0. Johnson T.
12. McDavid N.
11. Jones L.
2. Nelson S.
44. Quinn D.
4. Pal J.
7. Robinson T.
0. Phipps T.
55. Thompson T. (C)
18. Tona A.
4. Trapp C.
23. Torres J.
2. White X.
Coaches
. Jamil A.
. Weissling E.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 1.
Guasave is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Venados de Mazatlán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guasave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Guasave will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 840:915. (average 93.3:101.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Guasave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 484:536. (average 96.8:107.2).
Watch
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Durugordon S. 
Hill-Mais X. 
Robinson T. 
Thompson T. (C) 
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