Match Info

B2.League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Teriha Sekisui House Arena (Fukuoka)


	Fukuoka Rizing		Toyama Grouses

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.43	2.55	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.47	2.56
	1.43	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.47)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukuoka Rizing
62.8%

Toyama Grouses
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukuoka Rizing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Toyama Grouses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukuoka Rizing than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toyama Grouses than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Fukuoka Rizing - Toyama Grouses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Aita K.	1. Thomas Kennedy
25. Burrell J.	20. Ueda S.
23. Murakami S.	11. Uto N.
7. Nishikawa T.	50. Watt M.
5. Randall A.	30. White A.
Substitutes
50. Brown	13. Aquino M.
21. Hashimoto K.	2. Fujinaga Y. (C)
12. Kantake H. (C)	9. Mito T.
33. Kato T.	28. Nozaki Y.
1. Nakamura T.	4. Phelps E.
8. Smith J.	24. Takahashi K.
24. Taniguchi H.	17. Tanaka H.
Coaches
. Hamaguchi H.	. Gomez D.

Preview

Toyama leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukuoka won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Toyama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Fukuoka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 743:759. (average 82.6:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 488:535. (average 81.3:89.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukuoka Rizing
Japan B League One
10.05.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Toyama Grouses	77:84 ✺
05.05.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Fukui Blowinds	88:73 ✺
04.05.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Fukui Blowinds	74:46 ✺
20.04.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Kumamoto Volters	84:64 ✺
19.04.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Kumamoto Volters	77:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL
- Toyama Grouses
Japan B League One
10.05.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Toyama Grouses	77:84 ✺
05.05.25	Toyama Grouses - Veltex Shizuoka	90:74 ✺
04.05.25	Toyama Grouses - Veltex Shizuoka	75:82 ✺
03.05.25	Toyama Grouses - Veltex Shizuoka	81:63 ✺
20.04.25	Toyama Grouses - Fukui Blowinds	103:107 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League One
10.05.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Toyama Grouses	77:84
09.02.25	Fukuoka Rizing - Toyama Grouses	105:100
14.12.24	Toyama Grouses - Fukuoka Rizing	81:84
14.12.24	Toyama Grouses - Fukuoka Rizing	58:78
Japan B League Premier
24.03.19	Fukuoka Rizing - Toyama Grouses	74:101
23.03.19	Fukuoka Rizing - Toyama Grouses	82:91
05.12.15	Toyama Grouses - Fukuoka Rizing	85:93

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