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Current Win Probability
Gambusinos de Fresnillo 43.3%
Diablos Rojos del Mexico 56.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.4%
61.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
67.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gambusinos de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Diablos Rojos del Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gambusinos de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gambusinos de Fresnillo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diablos Rojos del Mexico than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diablos Rojos del Mexico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Diablos Rojos del Mexico Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Alaekwe C.
24. Carrera M. (C)
2. Cooper T. (C)
7. Cruz J.
3. Gonzalez L.
9. Drechsel T.
33. Kramer K.
6. Scala S.
8. Medford L.
23. Scott D.
Substitutes
14. Alvarez V.
11. Andriassi L.
87. Baldenebro J.
0. Barbosa Y.
23. Daniels T.
10. Cardoso B.
24. De Haro O.
66. Cosey G.
0. De Jesus J.
12. Dominguez R.
5. Gaddy K.
26. Garcia J.
11. Zesati J.
15. Robinson B.
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Gambusinos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Diablos Rojos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Diablos Rojos has had a series of home games.
Diablos Rojos could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gambusinos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 238:236. (average 79.3:78.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Gambusinos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 238:236. (average 79.3:78.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Diablos Rojos del Mexico - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.56%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Alaekwe C. 
Carrera M. (C) 
Cruz J. 
Gonzalez L. 
Drechsel T. 
Barbosa Y. 
De Jesus J. 
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