Match Info

LNBP

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Gambusinos de Fresnillo		El Calor de Cancun

	1	2
			Watch
	2.31	1.56
	2.26	1.55	Watch
	2.29	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.02)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gambusinos de Fresnillo
40.6%

El Calor de Cancun
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gambusinos de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

El Calor de Cancun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gambusinos de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Calor de Cancun than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Gambusinos de Fresnillo - El Calor de Cancun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Calor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Allen B.	31. Avila J.
24. Bryson M.	12. Barber A. (C)
0. Cunningham J.	41. De Vaughn G.
20. Jackson B.	8. Fernandez M.
13. Narcis J. (C)	55. Jones L.
Substitutes
11. Argomaniz M.	7. Coursey D.
18. Doria L.	16. Delgado R.
10. Feagin K.	32. Grimes N.
15. Garca E.	0. Ivey J.
77. Reyna A.	11. Landis M.
55. Tomsick N.	28. Martinez I.
17. Zesati J.	4. Ramirez M.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

Recent form of Gambusinos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, El Calor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gambusinos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 81:68.

Including home match between the teams, Gambusinos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 81:68.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gambusinos de Fresnillo
Mexican LNBP
19.09.25	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - El Calor de Cancun	81:68 ✺
14.09.25	Correcaminos UAT Victoria - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	95:85 ✺
13.09.25	Correcaminos UAT Victoria - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	96:91 OT ✺
09.09.25	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Panteras de Aguascalientes	80:87 ✺
08.09.25	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Panteras de Aguascalientes	84:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- El Calor de Cancun
Mexican LNBP
19.09.25	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - El Calor de Cancun	81:68 ✺
14.09.25	El Calor de Cancun - Santos del Potosí	90:60 ✺
13.09.25	El Calor de Cancun - Santos del Potosí	74:88 ✺
09.09.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - El Calor de Cancun	83:77 ✺
08.09.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - El Calor de Cancun	90:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
19.09.25	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - El Calor de Cancun	81:68

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