Match Info

LNBP - Round 20

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gimnasio Solidaridad (Fresnillo) 🌤️ ...


	Gambusinos de Fresnillo		Santos del Potosí

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.60	2.20
	1.87	1.87
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.80	1.90
	1.78	1.90
	1.80	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.39)	2.06 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gambusinos de Fresnillo
54.6%

Santos del Potosí
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gambusinos de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gambusinos de Fresnillo's form might have worsened.

Santos del Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos del Potosí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gambusinos de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos del Potosí than the current prediction. (-5%)

Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Santos del Potosí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Alaekwe C.	13. Blake J. (C)
0. De Jesus J.	10. Calloway J.
6. Hankerson K.	3. Mart R.
33. Kramer K.	32. Ward N.
8. Medford L. (C)	4. White J.
Substitutes
32. Agbonkpolo M.	23. Anthony M.
14. Alvarez V.	9. Astudillo D.
4. Argomaniz M.	20. Barriga A.
87. Baldenebro J.	19. Harrison A.
24. De Haro O.	25. Ramirez J.
21. Mitchell C.	15. Vazquez J.
11. Zesati J.	33. Vogt C.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

Gambusinos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gambusinos might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gambusinos will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gambusinos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 271:267. (average 90.3:89).

Including home match between the teams, Gambusinos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 89:77.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gambusinos de Fresnillo
Mexican LNBP
15.09.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Santos del Potosí	89:77 ✺
11.09.26	Abejas de León - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	74:86 ✺
10.09.26	Abejas de León - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	83:87 ✺
30.08.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Lobos Plateados	75:85 ✺
29.08.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Lobos Plateados	65:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL
- Santos del Potosí
Mexican LNBP
15.09.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Santos del Potosí	89:77 ✺
11.09.26	Santos del Potosí - Fuerza Regia	74:103 ✺
10.09.26	Santos del Potosí - Fuerza Regia	89:101 ✺
30.08.26	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Santos del Potosí	82:95 ✺
29.08.26	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Santos del Potosí	97:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
15.09.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Santos del Potosí	89:77
18.07.25	Santos del Potosí - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	90:96
17.07.25	Santos del Potosí - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	100:86

Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Santos del Potosí