Match Info

Date: 23 February 2021, Tuesday


	Gargždų		Jonava

	1	2
	3.5	1.26
	3.95	1.21
	4.12	1.21
	4.33	1.2
	3.32	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.9)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gargždų
24.3%

Jonava
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gargždų has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gargždų's form might have worsened.

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gargždų than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gargždų, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gargždų - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Preview

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Recent matches Gargždų is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jonava is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jonava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Jonava have a series of guest games.

In this match Jonava is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gargždų won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 690-642.

Including matches at home between the teams Gargždų won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 327-303.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gargždų SC Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
20.02.21	Gargždų - Telšiai	80:71 ✺
11.02.21	Telšiai - Gargždų	80:70 ✺
06.02.21	Jonava - Gargždų	99:86 ✺
26.01.21	Gargždų - Vytis Šakiai	119:115 OT (87:87) ✺
23.01.21	Gargždų - Perlas Vilnius	73:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLLWL
- Jonava BC
Lietuvos NKL
20.02.21	Jonava - Sūduva	96:83 ✺
18.02.21	Vytis Šakiai - Jonava	86:70 ✺
16.02.21	Jonava - Neptūnas	96:66 ✺
13.02.21	Jonava - Perlas Vilnius	95:64 ✺
11.02.21	Mažeikiai - Jonava	80:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
06.02.21	Jonava - Gargždų	99:86
05.03.20	Jonava - Gargždų	83:92
01.02.20	Gargždų - Jonava	83:64
11.01.20	Jonava - Gargždų	66:101
09.11.19	Gargždų - Jonava	83:73
08.03.19	Gargždų - Jonava	100:98 OT (87:87)
08.02.19	Jonava - Gargždų	98:82

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