Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Geelong United		Frankston Blues

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.45	1.45
	2.66	1.42
			Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.62	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.44)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong United
36.8%

Frankston Blues
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Frankston Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frankston Blues than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Geelong United - Frankston Blues Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.

In recent matches, Geelong has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Frankston's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Frankston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Frankston might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1073:1111. (average 82.5:85.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 485:489. (average 80.8:81.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong United
Australian NBL1 South
28.06.25	Geelong United - Nunawading Spectres	90:81 ✺
22.06.25	Kilsyth Cobras - Geelong United	92:77 ✺
21.06.25	Geelong United - Diamond Valley Eagles	110:94 ✺
15.06.25	Geelong United - NW Tasmania Thunder	85:97 ✺
14.06.25	Ringwood Hawks - Geelong United	110:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL
- Frankston Blues
Australian NBL1 South
29.06.25	Dandenong Rangers - Frankston Blues	104:103 ✺
21.06.25	Ballarat Miners - Frankston Blues	86:84 ✺
15.06.25	Frankston Blues - Ringwood Hawks	88:91 ✺
14.06.25	Frankston Blues - Waverley Falcons	101:113 ✺
31.05.25	Nunawading Spectres - Frankston Blues	76:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
19.05.24	Frankston Blues - Geelong United	115:83
20.04.24	Geelong United - Frankston Blues	67:64
01.07.23	Frankston Blues - Geelong United	97:98 OT
29.04.23	Geelong United - Frankston Blues	79:73
20.08.22	Frankston Blues - Geelong United	87:57
28.05.22	Geelong United - Frankston Blues	82:88
22.05.21	Geelong United - Frankston Blues	72:91

Geelong United - Frankston Blues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide