The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Geelong United 69.9%
NW Tasmania Thunder 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geelong United's performance.
NW Tasmania Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NW Tasmania Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NW Tasmania Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NW Tasmania Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Geelong United - NW Tasmania Thunder Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:82
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 4.
Recent form of Geelong has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NW Tasmania is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Geelong has had a series of away games.
Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1172:1047. (average 90.2:80.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 522:485. (average 87:80.8).
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