Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	15:00	Nbl+


	Mount Gambier Pioneers		Geelong United

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.00
	1.35	2.95
	1.25	3.45
	1.3	3.17	Watch
	1.33	3.20
	1.31	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.15 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 187.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mount Gambier Pioneers
70.6%

Geelong United
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mount Gambier Pioneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:91

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 3.

Recent form of Mount Gambier has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Geelong has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mount Gambier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mount Gambier is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1450:1354. (average 90.6:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mount Gambier won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 616:626. (average 88:89.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mount Gambier Pioneers
Australian NBL1 South
12.06.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Northern Tasmania	91:104 ✺
29.05.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Ringwood Hawks	95:97 ✺
23.05.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers	85:109 ✺
17.05.26	Eltham Wildcats - Mount Gambier Pioneers	95:77 ✺
16.05.26	Bendigo Braves - Mount Gambier Pioneers	82:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Geelong United
Australian NBL1 South
31.05.26	Dandenong Rangers - Geelong United	97:88 ✺
30.05.26	Ballarat Miners - Geelong United	101:82 ✺
24.05.26	Waverley Falcons - Geelong United	88:99 ✺
23.05.26	Geelong United - Northern Tasmania	113:92 ✺
16.05.26	Geelong United - Knox Raiders	75:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
12.04.26	Geelong United - Mount Gambier Pioneers	89:86
18.05.25	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United	94:88
29.03.25	Geelong United - Mount Gambier Pioneers	58:108
31.05.24	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United	77:84
04.05.24	Geelong United - Mount Gambier Pioneers	81:93
23.06.23	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United	100:90
06.05.23	Geelong United - Mount Gambier Pioneers	106:105

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United