Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NBL1 South

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday


	Geelong United		Waverley Falcons

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.69	1.99
	1.81	2
	1.62	2.19	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.71	2.03	Watch
	1.77	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.38)	2 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong United
53.4%

Waverley Falcons
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geelong United's performance.

Waverley Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waverley Falcons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waverley Falcons than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waverley Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Geelong United - Waverley Falcons Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Waverley will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geelong: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Preview

Geelong is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Waverley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Waverley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Geelong to win the game is with odds 1.93.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Geelong won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 460-403.

Including matches at home between the teams Geelong won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 180-170.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong United
Australian NBL1 South
07.07.24	Knox Raiders - Geelong United	89:75 ✺
06.07.24	Geelong United - Dandenong Rangers	78:65 ✺
28.06.24	Geelong United - Casey Cavaliers	88:77 ✺
23.06.24	Nunawading Spectres - Geelong United	74:75 ✺
22.06.24	Geelong United - Hobart Chargers	87:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- Waverley Falcons
Australian NBL1 South
11.07.24	Melbourne Tigers - Waverley Falcons	88:71 ✺
06.07.24	Waverley Falcons - Frankston Blues	66:98 ✺
04.07.24	Eltham Wildcats - Waverley Falcons	94:89 ✺
01.07.24	Ringwood Hawks - Waverley Falcons	74:100 ✺
22.06.24	Waverley Falcons - Casey Cavaliers	87:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
16.07.23	Waverley Falcons - Geelong United	72:93
09.07.22	Geelong United - Waverley Falcons	99:91
09.05.21	Waverley Falcons - Geelong United	99:95 OT (85:85)
01.05.21	Geelong United - Waverley Falcons	81:79
Australian NBL1
05.05.19	Waverley Falcons - Geelong United	62:92

Geelong United - Waverley Falcons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide