Match Info

ACB - Round 11

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavello Fontajau (Girona)

Referee: Merino C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Girona		Canarias

	1	2
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.46	Watch
	2.63	1.48
	2.47	1.52
	2.6	1.45
	2.66	1.5	Watch
	2.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.95)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
35.3%

Canarias
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Canarias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Girona - Canarias Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Canarias will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Girona (3.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez S.	11. Scrubb T.
29. Susinskas M.	42. Doornekamp A.
12. Geben M.	19. Shermadini G.
11. Livingston O.	9. Huertas M.
5. Needham D.	6. Fitipaldo B.
Substitutes
4. Busquets J.	21. Abromaitis T.
21. Fernandez J.	33. Alderete H.
9. Ferrando G.	16. Bordon D.
7. Hollanders S.	31. Giedraitis R.
8. Hughes M.	35. Guerra F.
25. Maric N.	15. Sastre J.
10. Vildoza J.	4. Van Beck W.
Coaches
. Fernandez M.	. Vidorreta T.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Canarias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Canarias could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Girona will win today's game, with odds of 2.68.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Girona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 429:510. (average 71.5:85).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 222:260. (average 74:86.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bàsquet Girona
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Real Madrid - Girona	112:76 ✺
06.12.25	Girona - CB Breogán	103:80 ✺
23.11.25	Valencia - Girona	98:72 ✺
15.11.25	Girona - Granada	82:76 ✺
09.11.25	Girona - Barcelona	96:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- CB Canarias
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Bnei Herzliya - Canarias	94:86 ✺
Spanish ACB League
13.12.25	CB Breogán - Canarias	96:108 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.25	Canarias - Trapani	80:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Canarias - Real Madrid	70:71 ✺
23.11.25	Basket Zaragoza - Canarias	76:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
04.05.25	Girona - Canarias	84:93
18.01.25	Canarias - Girona	100:80
07.04.24	Canarias - Girona	74:60
14.10.23	Girona - Canarias	66:79
06.05.23	Girona - Canarias	72:88
01.10.22	Canarias - Girona	76:67

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