Match Info
ACB - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 4 June 2026, ThursdayLocation: Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín (San Cristóbal de La Laguna)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Finland | Elisa Viihde Sport |
 France | DAZN France |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
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Canarias |
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Real Madrid |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.50 |
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1.26 |
 Watch |
 |
3.40 |
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1.33 |
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 |
3.4 |
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1.3 |
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3.57 |
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1.31 |
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 |
3.21 |
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1.33 |
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3.40 |
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1.30 |
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 |
3.43 |
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1.33 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.81) |
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1.31 ↓
(1.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 176.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Canarias
27.7% | Real Madrid
72.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canarias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canarias's form might have worsened.Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canarias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Canarias - Real Madrid Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5.5, OT - Canarias (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -5, OT - Real Madrid (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Canarias (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Real Madrid (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:92 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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21.  Abromaitis T.
| 6.  Abalde A.
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42.  Doornekamp A.
| 7.  Campazzo F.
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9.  Huertas M.
| 14. Deck G.
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15. Sastre J.
| 11.  Hezonja M.
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11. Scrubb T.
| 5.  Sissoko M.
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| Substitutes |
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33. Alderete H.
| 13. Almansa Perez I.
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16. Bordon D.
| 24.  Feliz A.
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3. Fernandez J.
| 1.  Kramer D.
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10.  Fridriksson E.
| 23. Llull S.
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88.  Mills P.
| 0. Lyles T.
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4.  Van Beck W.
| 12.  Maledon T.
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25.  Yebo K.
| 77.  Yurtseven O. F.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Vidorreta T.
| .  Scariolo S.
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Preview
Tenerife leads series 1-0. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 2.Recent performances by Canarias have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Real Madrid has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Canarias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1551:1666. (average 77.6:83.3).Including home matches between the teams, Canarias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 814:888. (average 74:80.7).
Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now
Real Madrid: 51.15% Tenerife: 2.65%
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203:194 | 4 |
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| 8 | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 160:156 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish ACB League | | | 02.06.26 | Real Madrid - Canarias | 97:98 | | 19.04.26 | Real Madrid - Canarias | 90:95 | | 07.12.25 | Canarias - Real Madrid | 70:71 | | Spanish Supercopa ACB | | | 27.09.25 | Real Madrid - Canarias | 72:71 | | Spanish ACB League | | | 13.04.25 | Canarias - Real Madrid | 68:79 | | 12.01.25 | Real Madrid - Canarias | 96:86 | | 10.03.24 | Real Madrid - Canarias | 80:78 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
