Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Goes (Montevideo)


	Goes		Aguada

	1	2
	2.48	1.44
	2.29	1.57
	2.29	1.51	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.81)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goes
38.2%

Aguada
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goes's performance.

Aguada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aguada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goes than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aguada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Goes - Aguada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Acosta A. (C)	5. Clark E.
2. Bonet E.	6. Pereiras F.
21. Conceicao S.	13. Santiso J. (C)
23. Nesbitt D.	4. Vidal S.
4. Oyenard M.	24. Zuvich A.
Substitutes
5. Caballero F.	33. Acuna V.
24. Couste X.	21. Barragan T.
77. dos Santos I.	1. Fernandez M.
90. Gastaldi F.	14. Gentile A.
15. Irastorza A.	10. Rodriguez J.
14. Serventich M.	15. Simon M.
6. Verrone F.	9. Traversa B.
Coaches
. Diaz N.	. Cortizas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goes won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Aguada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Goes will win today's game, with odds of 2.24.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Goes won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1482:1516. (average 74.1:75.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Goes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 699:716. (average 69.9:71.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Goes
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
14.11.25	Welcome - Goes	73:83 ✺
11.11.25	Goes - Peñarol de Montevideo	88:81 ✺
08.11.25	Cordón - Goes	94:85 ✺
03.11.25	Goes - Unión Atlética	78:62 ✺
30.10.25	Malvín - Goes	84:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWL
- Atletico Aguada
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
13.11.25	Hebraica y Macabi - Aguada	79:78 ✺
10.11.25	Aguada - Welcome	112:82 ✺
07.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada	103:89 ✺
04.11.25	Aguada - Cordón	107:86 ✺
29.10.25	Unión Atlética - Aguada	107:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
27.01.24	Goes - Aguada	74:75
20.11.23	Aguada - Goes	105:91
10.01.23	Aguada - Goes	72:67
25.10.22	Goes - Aguada	83:77
13.05.22	Goes - Aguada	94:96 OT (82:82)
10.05.22	Aguada - Goes	66:68
06.05.22	Goes - Aguada	80:85

Goes - Aguada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide