Match Info
California ClassicDate: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, CA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Canada | fubo Sports Network |
Netherlands | ESPN 4 |
Usa | ESPN 2 |
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Golden State Warriors |
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Milwaukee Bucks |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 177.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Golden State Warriors 40.3% | Milwaukee Bucks 59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Golden State Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Golden State Warriors's form might have worsened.Milwaukee Bucks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milwaukee Bucks's recent form is better than expected.Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Milwaukee will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:91 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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. Nembhard R.
| . Markovic B.
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. Green D.
| . Castro R.
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. Moni J.
| . Lewis M.
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. Boyd N.
| . Lewis K.
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. Jones C.
| . Ryan C.
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| Substitutes |
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. Dixon Waters R.
| . Austin Z.
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. Garcia A.
| . Boston B.
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. Settle S.
| . Burries B.
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. Taylor W.
| . Butler Jr J.
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. Tyson C.
| . Edwards J.
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. Ward H.
| . Kuany K.
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| . Miller K.
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| . Nance P.
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| . Stewart K.
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| . Timberlake E.
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| . Travers L.
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| . Williams A.
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| Coaches |
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. Kerr S.
| . Jenkins T.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 4.Milwaukee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2266:2247. (average 113.3:112.4).Including home matches between the teams, Golden State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1267:1193. (average 115.2:108.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Milwaukee Bucks - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 07.01.26 | Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks | 120:113 | | 30.10.25 | Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors | 120:110 | | 18.03.25 | Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks | 104:93 | | 10.02.25 | Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors | 111:125 | | 06.03.24 | Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks | 125:90 | | 13.01.24 | Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors | 129:118 | | 11.03.23 | Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks | 125:116 OT |
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