Match Info

CBA - Round 6

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dongguan Basketball Center (Dongguan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	12:35	Laola1
Germany	12:35	Laola1


	Guangdong Southern Tigers		Jiangsu Dragons

	1	2
	1.28	3.40	Watch
	1.26	3.60
	1.25	3.65
	1.27	3.52
	1.14	5.1	Watch
	1.25	3.45
	1.26	3.68	Watch
	1.26	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	3.76 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Southern Tigers
75.1%

Jiangsu Dragons
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Southern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jiangsu Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangdong Southern Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangsu Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangsu Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jiangsu Dragons Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Guangdong Southern Tigers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:83

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Lineups


35. Azubuike U.	25. Gray K.
29. Bozic L.	44. Hunt F.
5. Chen Jiazheng	18. Jiang Haoran
24. Choi Young-Hee	17. Lee S.
12. Fogg K.	26. Pang Zhenglin
3. Hu Mingxuan	7. Thompson J.
16. Jiao Boqiao	34. Wu Yujia
41. Wang Hongze.	5. Xiao Kai
2. Xu Jie	23. Yan Shi
33. Yang Yi	9. Zeng Fanri
25. Zhang Haojia	50. Zheng Qilong
11. Zhou Peng	4. Zhihao C.
Coaches
. Jakovljevic N.	. Li Y.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 3.

Guangdong has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jiangsu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Guangdong carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guangdong has recorded 18 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2282:1835 (averaging 114.1:91.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guangdong against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1226:981 goals (averaging 111.5:89.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
11	Guangdong	6	3	3	524:526	0.500
19	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495:532	0.167

Outrights of CBA for now

Guangdong: 9.89% Jiangsu Dragons: 0.69%

Last Results with these Odds

Guangdong Southern Tigers - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.43%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
CBA
26.10.26	Shanghai Sharks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	99:87 ✺
24.10.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Ningbo Rockets	86:77 ✺
22.10.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	96:78 ✺
20.10.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	96:78 ✺
18.10.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Guangdong Southern Tigers	96:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Jiangsu Dragons
CBA
27.10.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Fujian Xunxing	88:78 ✺
25.10.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Jiangsu Dragons	101:79 ✺
23.10.26	Beijing Royal Fighters - Jiangsu Dragons	93:82 ✺
19.10.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Shenzhen Leopards	81:89 ✺
17.10.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Fujian Xunxing	85:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
31.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jiangsu Dragons	101:75
20.03.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Guangdong Southern Tigers	93:92
Chinese CBA Club Cup
06.12.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jiangsu Dragons	101:75
CBA
16.12.24	Jiangsu Dragons - Guangdong Southern Tigers	86:103
05.12.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jiangsu Dragons	98:100
22.03.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jiangsu Dragons	94:87
15.11.23	Jiangsu Dragons - Guangdong Southern Tigers	100:110

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