Match Info

CBA

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Long-Lions		Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin

	1	2
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	3	1.35
	3	1.36
	2.71	1.42	Watch
	3.2	1.33
	3.03	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.76)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Long-Lions
30.2%

Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Long-Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Guangzhou Long Lions - Shandong Hi Speed Kirin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guangzhou will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Shandong will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5, OT - Guangzhou (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91

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Lineups


6. Burton D.	6. Akoon-Purcell D.
13. Guo Ailun	51. Chen L.
23. Guohao C.	44. Chen Peidong
8. Holiday J.	32. Chriss M.
12. Li Xiangbo	1. Gao Shiyan
7. Weiyun S.	14. Guo Kai
28. Wigginton L.	8. Killeya-Jones S.
19. Xin Dayi X.	20. Tao Hanlin
2. Xingliang Z.	19. Yu Dehao
11. Yancheng L.	17. Zhang X.
3. Zhang Huafei	5. Zheng Wang
5. Zhaoyao Y.	10. Zhijie X.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 0.

Guangzhou is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shandong has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Guangzhou has had a series of away games.

In this match, Shandong is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1943:2010. (average 97.2:100.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 793:800. (average 99.1:100).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
03.02.26	Qingdao DoubleStar - Guangzhou Long-Lions	88:81 ✺
31.01.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	83:80 ✺
29.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	85:92 ✺
27.01.26	Shanghai Sharks - Guangzhou Long-Lions	95:78 ✺
25.01.26	Qingdao DoubleStar - Guangzhou Long-Lions	78:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
Chinese CBA Club Cup
11.02.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	97:76 ✺
08.02.26	Shanghai Sharks - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	112:83 ✺
06.02.26	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	88:89 ✺
CBA
02.02.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	101:96 ✺
31.01.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
31.01.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	83:80
19.03.25	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	98:77
13.01.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	89:121
22.01.24	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	112:105
31.12.23	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	103:83
23.10.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	114:81
11.04.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	89:80

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