Match Info

LNBP

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Nido del Halcón (Xalapa)


	Halcones UV Xalapa		Fuerza Regia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.7
	2	1.74
	2.11	1.62	Watch
	2.13	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)	1.68 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halcones UV Xalapa
45%

Fuerza Regia
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halcones UV Xalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Fuerza Regia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halcones UV Xalapa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerza Regia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Xalapa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Fuerza Regia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fuerza Regia: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Fuerza Regia (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fuerza Regia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Xalapa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fuerza Regia (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Bibbs J.	4. Bamforth S.
8. Henry S.	1. Giron E.
42. Mahalbasic R.	12. Holmes A. (C)
22. Washington J.	5. Jelks S.
5. Zurbriggen F. (C)	0. Langston W.
Substitutes
31. Avila J.	8. Andriassi J.
24. Giron G.	7. Doria L.
25. Israel-Gutierrez J.	23. Martinez J.
28. Martinez I.	9. Montano I.
12. McFadden T.	15. Parker A.
2. Ramirez V.	2. Shorter S.
4. Stoll P.	11. Sullivan L.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xalapa won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Xalapa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fuerza Regia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xalapa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1579:1681. (average 79:84.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Xalapa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 759:774. (average 84.3:86).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halcones UV Xalapa
Mexican LNBP
16.08.25	Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia	96:97 OT ✺
09.08.25	Correcaminos UAT Victoria - Halcones UV Xalapa	88:89 ✺
08.08.25	Correcaminos UAT Victoria - Halcones UV Xalapa	82:98 ✺
03.08.25	Halcones UV Xalapa - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	64:93 ✺
02.08.25	Halcones UV Xalapa - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	81:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW
- Fuerza Regia
Mexican LNBP
16.08.25	Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia	96:97 OT ✺
10.08.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Fuerza Regia	97:91 ✺
09.08.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Fuerza Regia	96:83 ✺
03.08.25	Fuerza Regia - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	99:79 ✺
02.08.25	Fuerza Regia - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	97:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
16.08.25	Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia	96:97 OT
16.11.24	Fuerza Regia - Halcones UV Xalapa	80:85
13.11.24	Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia	98:86
11.11.24	Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia	70:78
10.11.24	Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia	67:71
07.11.24	Fuerza Regia - Halcones UV Xalapa	85:79
06.11.24	Fuerza Regia - Halcones UV Xalapa	62:80

Halcones UV Xalapa - Fuerza Regia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide