What is the expert prediction for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, June 09, 2026)

Match Info

Super League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Pais Arena (Jerusalem)


	Hapoel Jerusalem		Hapoel Tel Aviv

	1	2
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	2.50	1.45
	2.50	1.46
	2.72	1.46
	2.68	1.41	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.71	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.15)	1.45 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
35.7%

Hapoel Tel Aviv
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Jerusalem's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Tel Aviv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 174, OT - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Ben Moshe T.	41. Ginat T.
3. Carrington K.	26. Madar Y.
1. Harper J.	22. Micic V.
15. Levi N.	6. Segev I.
44. Skapintsev D.	24. Wainright I.
Substitutes
4. Belaga R.	14. Blayzer O.
11. Ben Atar Y.	23. Cook K.
35. Burg E.	1. Jones C.
16. Hanochi Y.	0. Motley J.
13. Huber R.	9. Palatin G.
0. Smith J.	10. Timor B.
8. Winston C.	99. Ziv Y.
Coaches
. Alon Y.	. Itoudis D.

Preview

Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 4.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Hapoel Jerusalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1595:1580. (average 79.8:79).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Jerusalem won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 649:674. (average 81.1:84.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Basketball Super League
07.06.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	84:88 ✺
02.06.26	Hapoel HaEmek - Hapoel Jerusalem	91:98 ✺
31.05.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel HaEmek	82:71 ✺
27.05.26	Hapoel HaEmek - Hapoel Jerusalem	75:77 ✺
20.05.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	103:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Hapoel Tel Aviv BC
Israeli Basketball Super League
07.06.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	84:88 ✺
04.06.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Rishon LeZion	96:83 ✺
02.06.26	Maccabi Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Tel Aviv	69:95 ✺
31.05.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Rishon LeZion	74:82 ✺
28.05.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv	97:115 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Basketball Super League
07.06.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	84:88
08.02.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	105:91
Israeli Cup Basketball
31.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	83:93
Israeli Basketball Super League
03.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	77:92
Israeli League Cup
08.11.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	89:84
Israeli Basketball Super League
03.06.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	83:86
28.05.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	98:87

Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide