Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday


	Hartford Hawks		Merrimack Warriors

	1	2
	4.2	1.25
	4.1	1.25
	4.1	1.23
	3.85	1.27
	4	1.22
	3.62	1.25
	3.6	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.16)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 123.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Hawks
24%

Merrimack Warriors
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartford Hawks's form might have worsened.

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merrimack Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Hawks than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartford Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merrimack Warriors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hartford Hawks - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Merrimack will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 58:67

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Preview

Hartford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merrimack is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Merrimack could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Merrimack is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hartford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 118-137.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 58-62.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Hawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.02.23	South Alabama Jaguars - Hartford Hawks	77:53 ✺
08.02.23	Hartford Hawks - Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	73:82 ✺
06.02.23	Hartford Hawks - UMass Lowell River Hawks	48:70 ✺
04.02.23	Hartford Hawks - Chicago State Cougars	49:62 ✺
25.01.23	Hartford Hawks - Stonehill Skyhawks	73:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLLW
- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.23	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Merrimack Warriors	68:75 ✺
09.02.23	Merrimack Warriors - Stonehill Skyhawks	56:43 ✺
04.02.23	Merrimack Warriors - St. Francis PA Red Flash	70:66 ✺
02.02.23	Merrimack Warriors - LIU Sharks	76:59 ✺
28.01.23	Merrimack Warriors - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	71:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
23.11.21	Merrimack Warriors - Hartford Hawks	75:60
24.11.19	Hartford Hawks - Merrimack Warriors	58:62

Hartford Hawks - Merrimack Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide