Match Info

GERMANY: BBL - ROUND 26

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: SNP Dome (Heidelberg)


	Heidelberg		Crailsheim Merlins

	1	2
	1.5	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.42	2.9
	1.43	2.92
	1.43	2.93
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)	2.77 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidelberg
65.6%

Crailsheim Merlins
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidelberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heidelberg's performance.

Crailsheim Merlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crailsheim Merlins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidelberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crailsheim Merlins than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crailsheim Merlins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heidelberg - Crailsheim Merlins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Carroll J.	4. Baggette E.
4. Childs E.	9. Bleck F.
25. Jaworski J.	10. Darden T.
1. Whaley I.	30. Smith G.
2. Wurzner N.	3. Stuckey M.
Substitutes
44. Hundt B.	1. Cook K.
15. Kessen M.	11. Kindzeka R.
6. Lasisi E.	12. Murray Boyles J.
7. Rietsch E.	8. Oduro P.
8. Schally S. L.	19. Westermann L.
11. Vargas A.	6. Wulff L.
9. Zipser P.	21. Zejdl M.
Coaches
. Freyer I.	. Laakso J.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro A and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidelberg won 3.

Recent matches Heidelberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crailsheim is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heidelberg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Heidelberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 608-648.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidelberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 350-373.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Heidelberg
German BBL
23.03.24	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Heidelberg	99:77 ✺
16.03.24	Heidelberg - Rostock Seawolves	88:86 ✺
10.03.24	Heidelberg - Baskets Bonn	92:87 ✺
03.03.24	BG Göttingen - Heidelberg	94:91 ✺
13.02.24	Brose Bamberg - Heidelberg	98:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL
- Crailsheim Merlins
German BBL
23.03.24	Crailsheim Merlins - BG Göttingen	80:76 ✺
16.03.24	Mitteldeutscher - Crailsheim Merlins	98:93 ✺
09.03.24	Crailsheim Merlins - Niners Chemnitz	82:97 ✺
01.03.24	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Crailsheim Merlins	86:80 ✺
14.02.24	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Crailsheim Merlins	80:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
20.11.23	Crailsheim Merlins - Heidelberg	86:93
26.03.23	Heidelberg - Crailsheim Merlins	93:82
07.01.23	Crailsheim Merlins - Heidelberg	102:93
09.04.22	Crailsheim Merlins - Heidelberg	87:72
07.01.22	Heidelberg - Crailsheim Merlins	100:91
German Pro A Basketball
04.02.18	Heidelberg - Crailsheim Merlins	95:99
26.02.17	Heidelberg - Crailsheim Merlins	62:101

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