Match Info

GERMANY: BBL - ROUND 24

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadthalle Weissenfels (Weissenfels)


	Mitteldeutscher		Crailsheim Merlins

	1	2
	1.41	3	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.4	3
	1.36	3.29
	1.36	3.29
	1.41	3
	1.38	3.08	Watch
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	3.08 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitteldeutscher
68.9%

Crailsheim Merlins
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitteldeutscher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Crailsheim Merlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitteldeutscher than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crailsheim Merlins than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Mitteldeutscher - Crailsheim Merlins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:86

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches MBC won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

MBC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match MBC is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches MBC won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1469-1456.

Including matches at home between the teams MBC won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 871-869.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitteldeutscher BC
German BBL
09.03.24	Walter Tigers Tübingen - Mitteldeutscher	88:78 ✺
02.03.24	Mitteldeutscher - Rostock Seawolves	106:102 ✺
13.02.24	Lowen Braunschweig - Mitteldeutscher	88:81 ✺
11.02.24	Mitteldeutscher - Bayern München	86:116 ✺
03.02.24	Brose Bamberg - Mitteldeutscher	108:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL
- Crailsheim Merlins
German BBL
09.03.24	Crailsheim Merlins - Niners Chemnitz	82:97 ✺
01.03.24	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Crailsheim Merlins	86:80 ✺
14.02.24	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Crailsheim Merlins	80:58 ✺
10.02.24	Crailsheim Merlins - Ludwigsburg	89:100 ✺
02.02.24	Walter Tigers Tübingen - Crailsheim Merlins	85:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
06.01.24	Crailsheim Merlins - Mitteldeutscher	87:76
07.05.23	Mitteldeutscher - Crailsheim Merlins	79:69
05.11.22	Crailsheim Merlins - Mitteldeutscher	119:102
06.04.22	Crailsheim Merlins - Mitteldeutscher	90:93
10.10.21	Mitteldeutscher - Crailsheim Merlins	116:111 OT (99:99)
09.04.21	Crailsheim Merlins - Mitteldeutscher	77:82
14.11.20	Mitteldeutscher - Crailsheim Merlins	66:84

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