Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 12

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière (Nantes)


	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique		Caen

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.96
	1.78	1.83	Watch
	1.7	2.01
	1.8	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
52.1%

Caen
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermine de Nantes Atlantique than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Bourhis L.	9. Cavallo C. (C)
4. Dambreville E.	1. Chambers S.
13. Manerlax C.	12. Facey K.
23. Mienandi H. (C)	18. Golitin Y.
24. Van Eyck D.	5. Rojewski A.
Substitutes
17. Boum R.	20. Briki S.
25. Carrio M.	22. Cassier L.
27. Dossou J.	10. Davis R.
7. Gassaud D.	3. Demahis-Ballou R.
28. Kangudia M.	7. Kone K.
	14. Kouame-Zeze K.
Coaches
. Valin R.	. Eberlin S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.

Nantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Caen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Caen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 493:493. (average 82.2:82.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 240:244. (average 80:81.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
French Elite 2
14.11.25	SPO Rouen Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	79:87 ✺
07.11.25	Champagne Chalons-Reims - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	86:71 ✺
31.10.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Alliance Sport Alsace	96:84 ✺
28.10.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	88:82 ✺
24.10.25	Antibes - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	79:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWW
- Caen Basket Calvados
French Elite 2
18.11.25	Orléans Loiret - Caen	89:86 ✺
13.11.25	Caen - Aix Maurienne	106:96 OT ✺
07.11.25	Quimper - Caen	66:79 ✺
31.10.25	Caen - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	89:85 ✺
28.10.25	Alliance Sport Alsace - Caen	80:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
08.04.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen	82:87
29.10.24	Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	89:77
23.04.19	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen	90:92 OT (81:81)
11.01.19	Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	69:81
24.04.18	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen	68:65
12.01.18	Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	91:95 OT (79:79)

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